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Ministry of infrastructure of Ukraine Ukrainian State Air Traffic Services EnterpriseSafety. Efficiency. Responsibility |
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| News |
| 11th April 2023 |
| Ukrainian airspace will be opened immediately after the end of hostilities and the victory of Ukraine |
Today, the Ukrainian information space was stirred by the news of the EUROCONTROL latest forecast that flights in Ukraine are likely to resume only at the end of 2029. We could not ignore such reports, so we are informing you in detail about the forecast preparation specifics and the prospects for opening the Ukrainian sky.
EUROCONTROL (European Organisation for the Safety of Air Navigation that unites 41 States and supports European aviation in all its aspects) has published an updated forecast on the resumption of flights in the European region.
EUROCONTROL STATFOR unit issues/updates 7-year air traffic forecasts for all Member States and the European region as a whole twice a year. These forecasts are used by Member States to calculate annual air navigation charges.
The latest published forecast is based on the current situation in the aviation industry and route configuration, namely closure of the Ukrainian airspace for civil flights due to military operations, significant restrictions on flights in the airspace of Moldova (also for security reasons), Russia and Belarus (sanction bans), a significant reduction in flights in Poland, the Baltic and Scandinavian countries, and a respective increase in the flying intensity in the southern and eastern parts of Europe (to overfly closed areas), etc. These factors are expected to be in place until the end of the planning horizon, i.e. until 2029, as there are no other confirmed input data for forecasting to date.
However, what is important to understand is that EUROCONTROL does not generate or use military forecasts/analytics/assumptions to create its forecasts. These calculations also do not include other uncertainties, such as unpredictable economic turbulence, escalation of geopolitical tensions, and other unpredictable events that may have a negative impact on aviation development.
Therefore, given the fact of the ongoing military aggression of the Russian Federation on the territory of Ukraine, EUROCONTROL experts made assumptions up to the end of the planning horizon, i.e. the year 2029, based on these current inputs. As soon as new objective factors appear, such as the end of the war and the reformatting of the route network, EUROCONTROL forecast will be updated with new data.
Despite the force majeure circumstances caused by the military aggression of the Russian Federation, Ukraine is taking all necessary steps to resume flights in its airspace.
Jointly with EUROCONTROL, Action Plan for Air Navigation Services Recovery in the Airspace of Ukraine has been developed as an integral part of state programmes for the recovery of transport sector and economy of Ukraine. This Plan includes the whole range of the required components: infrastructure recovery, operational procedures, aviation security, personnel training, certification, cooperation with international partners, financing, etc.
We believe in our Victory and early resumption of flights in our peaceful sky!
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| Source: UkSATSE |
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